Minería de Datos, Conflictos Sociales y Explotación de Recursos Naturales: Un Aporte Metodológico
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Publicado
abr 29, 2017
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Resumen
A través de la técnica de Text Mining generamos una metodología para la cuantificación de los conflictos sociopolíticos relacionados a la explotación de los recursos naturales mediante la utilización de noticias de periódicos. Como caso de estudio nos enfocamos en los conflictos que acontecieron en Argentina desde 1996-2014, procesando 1.758.747 noticias de uno de los principales diarios argentinos. Esto nos dio como resultado un esquema fácilmente extensible al resto de los países de la región y nos permitió sacar conclusiones sobre la relación entre conflictos sociales y la explotación de recursos naturales en Argentina.
Palabras clave
Metodología, Text Mining, Maldición de Recursos Naturales
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Citas
Albrieu, Ramiro (2013). La macroeconomía de los recursos naturales en América Latina; en “Los Recursos Naturales Como Palanca del Desarrollo en América del Sur: ¿Ficción o Realidad?”; Red Mercosur (2013).
Aromí, J. Daniel (2013). "Media news and the stock market: evidence for Argentina." (2013) - IIEP-Baires.
Arezki, R., y van der Ploeg, F. (2007). Can the Natural Resource Curse BeTurned Into a Blessing? The Role of Trade Policies and Institution, Working Paper IMF, WP/07/55.
Bakera, Scott R., Bloomb, Nicholas y Davisc, Steven J. (2013). Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty; 19 May 2013.
Brunnschweiler Christa N. and Erwin H. Bulte (2009) Oxford Economic Papers, 1 of 24
Bruno, M. and Sachs, J. (1982) ‗Energy and Resource Allocation: A Dynamic Model of the ―Dutch Disease‖‘, Review of Economic Studies XLIX: 845–59.
Calderón Gutierrez, F., Lorena Fontana, María Isabel Nava y Huascar Pacheco (2013). La Protesta Social en América Latina; Cuaderno de Prospectiva Política 1.
Collier, P & Hoeffler, A (1998) On Economic Causes of Civil War‘, Oxford Economic Papers No 50: 563–73.
Collier, P., y Hoeffler, A. (2000). Greed and grievance in civil wars. Working Paper WPS 2000-18, World Bank, Washington, DC.
Collier, P., y Hoeffler, A. (2005). Resource rents, governance, and conflict.Journal of conflict resolution, 49(4), 625-633.
Corden, W. and Neary, J. (1982), ‗Booming Sector and De-Industrialisation in a Small Open Economy‘, The Economic Journal 92 (December): 825–48.
Doyle, M. and Sambanis, N. (2000) ‗International Peacebuilding: A Theoretical and Quantitative Analysis‘, American Political Science Review 94.4: 779–801.
Dunning, T. (2005). Resource dependence, economic performance, and political stability. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 49(4), 451-482.
Evans, Alex (2010). Resource Scarcity, Climate Change and the Risk of Violent Conflict; Center on International Cooperation; New York University.
Feinerer, I., Hornik, K. y Meyer, D. (2008). Text Mining Infrastruucture in R; Journal of Statistical Software, Volume 25, Issue 5; March 2008.
Garcia, D. (2013). Sentiment during recessions. The Journal of Finance, 68(3), 1267-1300.
Giordano, M., Giordano, Meredith, Wolf, A. (2005). International Resource Conflict and Mitigation, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 42, no.1
Haber, S. y Menaldo, V. (2011). Do Natural Resources Fuel Authoritarianism? A Reappraisal of the Resource Curse; American Political Science Review; February 2011.
Humphreys, Macartan (2008). Natural Resources, Conflict and Conflict Resolution: Uncovering the mechanisms; Department of Political Science; Columbia University; 2005.
Kahl, C. (2006). States, Scarcity and Civil Strife in the Developing World; Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Le Billon, P & Nichols, E (2007) Ending ‗Resource Wars‘: Revenue Sharing, Economic Sanction or Military Intervention? International Peacekeeping 14 (5) pp 613-632
Levin, J. (1960). The Export Economies: Their Pattern of Development in Historical Perspective, Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
McNeish, John Andrew (2010). Rethinking resource conflict; CMI Norway; September 17, 2010.
Mehlum, H; Moene, K & Torvik, R (2005). Cursed by Resources or Institutions. Working Paper Series N° 10/2005.
Mehlum, H; Moene, K & Torvik, R (2006) Institutions and the Resource Curse. The Economic Journal. 116 January. Pgs 1-20.
Nafziger, E. W., & Auvinen, J. (2002). Economic development, inequality, war, and state violence. World Development, 30(2), 153-163.
Nieto, A. (2010). Amotinados: Ira obrera en la industria pesquera argentina 1997-2007; Revista Lavboratorio, N°23, Buenos Aires, pp. 95-135.
Nieto, A. y Colombo, G. (2009). Lucha de calles en la industria de la pesca: Una interpretación del porqué de su regularidad (1997-2007); Conflicto social, Año 2, N°1, Junio 2009.
Nurske, R. (1958). Trade Fluctuations and Buffer Policies of Low-Income Countries‘, Kyklos 11.2: 141–4
Matthew, R. A., Brown, O., & Jensen, D. (2009). From conflict to peacebuilding: the role of natural resources and the environment (No. 1). UNEP/Earthprint.
Prebisch, R. (1950) The Economic Development of Latin America and its Principal Problems, Lake Success, NY: United Nations
Robinson, J.A; Torvik, R & Verdier, T (2006) Political Foundations of the Resource Curse. Journal of Development Economics. 79 (2006) 447– 468.
Rodrik, D. (2003) (ed.) In Search of Prosperity: Analytic Narratives on Economic Growth, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press
Ross, M. (2004) What Do We Know About Natural Resources and Civil War?, Journal of Peace Research 41.3: 337–56.
Sachs, Jeffrey D. y Warner, Andrew M. (1995). Natural Resource Abundance and Economic Growth; Working Paper 5398; National Bureu of Economic Research.
Singer, H. (1950), The Distribution of Gains Between Investing and Borrowing Countries, The American Economic Review 40.2 (May), papers and proceedings of the sixty-second Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association: 473–85
Sinnott, E., Nash, J., & De la Torre, A. (2010). Natural resources in Latin America and the Caribbean: beyond booms and busts?. World Bank Publications.
Starkweather, J. (2014). Introduction to basic Text Mining in R; published in Benchmarks RSS Matters, January 2014.
Tetlock, P. C. (2007). Giving content to investor sentiment: The role of media in the stock market. The Journal of Finance, 62(3), 1139-1168.
Tostensen, A & Bull, B (2004) Are Smart Sanctions Feasible? World Politics 54 (3):373-403
UE-ONU (2008). Kit de Herramientas y Orientación para la Prevención y la Gestión de Conflictos de Tierras y Recursos Naturales.
Urrutia, M. (1988) ‗The Politics of Economic Development Policies in Resource Rich States‘, in M. Urrutia and S. Yukawa (eds), Economic Development Policies in Resource Rich Countries, Tokyo: United Nations University
Watts, M., & Kashi, E. (2008). Curse of the black gold: 50 years of oil in the Niger Delta. Brooklyn, NY: powerHouse Books.
Williams, G. (2014). Data Science with R Text Mining.
Aromí, J. Daniel (2013). "Media news and the stock market: evidence for Argentina." (2013) - IIEP-Baires.
Arezki, R., y van der Ploeg, F. (2007). Can the Natural Resource Curse BeTurned Into a Blessing? The Role of Trade Policies and Institution, Working Paper IMF, WP/07/55.
Bakera, Scott R., Bloomb, Nicholas y Davisc, Steven J. (2013). Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty; 19 May 2013.
Brunnschweiler Christa N. and Erwin H. Bulte (2009) Oxford Economic Papers, 1 of 24
Bruno, M. and Sachs, J. (1982) ‗Energy and Resource Allocation: A Dynamic Model of the ―Dutch Disease‖‘, Review of Economic Studies XLIX: 845–59.
Calderón Gutierrez, F., Lorena Fontana, María Isabel Nava y Huascar Pacheco (2013). La Protesta Social en América Latina; Cuaderno de Prospectiva Política 1.
Collier, P & Hoeffler, A (1998) On Economic Causes of Civil War‘, Oxford Economic Papers No 50: 563–73.
Collier, P., y Hoeffler, A. (2000). Greed and grievance in civil wars. Working Paper WPS 2000-18, World Bank, Washington, DC.
Collier, P., y Hoeffler, A. (2005). Resource rents, governance, and conflict.Journal of conflict resolution, 49(4), 625-633.
Corden, W. and Neary, J. (1982), ‗Booming Sector and De-Industrialisation in a Small Open Economy‘, The Economic Journal 92 (December): 825–48.
Doyle, M. and Sambanis, N. (2000) ‗International Peacebuilding: A Theoretical and Quantitative Analysis‘, American Political Science Review 94.4: 779–801.
Dunning, T. (2005). Resource dependence, economic performance, and political stability. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 49(4), 451-482.
Evans, Alex (2010). Resource Scarcity, Climate Change and the Risk of Violent Conflict; Center on International Cooperation; New York University.
Feinerer, I., Hornik, K. y Meyer, D. (2008). Text Mining Infrastruucture in R; Journal of Statistical Software, Volume 25, Issue 5; March 2008.
Garcia, D. (2013). Sentiment during recessions. The Journal of Finance, 68(3), 1267-1300.
Giordano, M., Giordano, Meredith, Wolf, A. (2005). International Resource Conflict and Mitigation, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 42, no.1
Haber, S. y Menaldo, V. (2011). Do Natural Resources Fuel Authoritarianism? A Reappraisal of the Resource Curse; American Political Science Review; February 2011.
Humphreys, Macartan (2008). Natural Resources, Conflict and Conflict Resolution: Uncovering the mechanisms; Department of Political Science; Columbia University; 2005.
Kahl, C. (2006). States, Scarcity and Civil Strife in the Developing World; Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Le Billon, P & Nichols, E (2007) Ending ‗Resource Wars‘: Revenue Sharing, Economic Sanction or Military Intervention? International Peacekeeping 14 (5) pp 613-632
Levin, J. (1960). The Export Economies: Their Pattern of Development in Historical Perspective, Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
McNeish, John Andrew (2010). Rethinking resource conflict; CMI Norway; September 17, 2010.
Mehlum, H; Moene, K & Torvik, R (2005). Cursed by Resources or Institutions. Working Paper Series N° 10/2005.
Mehlum, H; Moene, K & Torvik, R (2006) Institutions and the Resource Curse. The Economic Journal. 116 January. Pgs 1-20.
Nafziger, E. W., & Auvinen, J. (2002). Economic development, inequality, war, and state violence. World Development, 30(2), 153-163.
Nieto, A. (2010). Amotinados: Ira obrera en la industria pesquera argentina 1997-2007; Revista Lavboratorio, N°23, Buenos Aires, pp. 95-135.
Nieto, A. y Colombo, G. (2009). Lucha de calles en la industria de la pesca: Una interpretación del porqué de su regularidad (1997-2007); Conflicto social, Año 2, N°1, Junio 2009.
Nurske, R. (1958). Trade Fluctuations and Buffer Policies of Low-Income Countries‘, Kyklos 11.2: 141–4
Matthew, R. A., Brown, O., & Jensen, D. (2009). From conflict to peacebuilding: the role of natural resources and the environment (No. 1). UNEP/Earthprint.
Prebisch, R. (1950) The Economic Development of Latin America and its Principal Problems, Lake Success, NY: United Nations
Robinson, J.A; Torvik, R & Verdier, T (2006) Political Foundations of the Resource Curse. Journal of Development Economics. 79 (2006) 447– 468.
Rodrik, D. (2003) (ed.) In Search of Prosperity: Analytic Narratives on Economic Growth, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press
Ross, M. (2004) What Do We Know About Natural Resources and Civil War?, Journal of Peace Research 41.3: 337–56.
Sachs, Jeffrey D. y Warner, Andrew M. (1995). Natural Resource Abundance and Economic Growth; Working Paper 5398; National Bureu of Economic Research.
Singer, H. (1950), The Distribution of Gains Between Investing and Borrowing Countries, The American Economic Review 40.2 (May), papers and proceedings of the sixty-second Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association: 473–85
Sinnott, E., Nash, J., & De la Torre, A. (2010). Natural resources in Latin America and the Caribbean: beyond booms and busts?. World Bank Publications.
Starkweather, J. (2014). Introduction to basic Text Mining in R; published in Benchmarks RSS Matters, January 2014.
Tetlock, P. C. (2007). Giving content to investor sentiment: The role of media in the stock market. The Journal of Finance, 62(3), 1139-1168.
Tostensen, A & Bull, B (2004) Are Smart Sanctions Feasible? World Politics 54 (3):373-403
UE-ONU (2008). Kit de Herramientas y Orientación para la Prevención y la Gestión de Conflictos de Tierras y Recursos Naturales.
Urrutia, M. (1988) ‗The Politics of Economic Development Policies in Resource Rich States‘, in M. Urrutia and S. Yukawa (eds), Economic Development Policies in Resource Rich Countries, Tokyo: United Nations University
Watts, M., & Kashi, E. (2008). Curse of the black gold: 50 years of oil in the Niger Delta. Brooklyn, NY: powerHouse Books.
Williams, G. (2014). Data Science with R Text Mining.